Research
Could the S&P500 Be at 10000 by 2030?
Periodically, like in our year-ahead outlook this year, we think it is prudent to be cautious about deploying new capital into the US equity market.
Clues After A Sell-Off
The S&P500 sold off 10% from February 19th, 2025 through last Thursday. This represents the 18th biggest draw down of the S&P500 since 1986.
Healthcare: Defense and Offense
The Healthcare Sector is up 6.4% year-to-date, compared to the S&P500 that is down 4.5%. Healthcare remains our favorite sector, as we don’t think the recent outperformance is close to fully incorporating the long-term potential.
The Pain Trade
After the market sells-off, like it has here over the last several weeks, there is a phrase that nearly always gets trotted out by the Sell-Side Institutional community, “The Pain Trade Is Higher.”
What Happened to the Bull Case?
We entered 2025 the most cautious on risk taking we have been in several years, worried about several issues: